Tag Archives: Alaska

Election 2010 Predictions

HOWARD MEGDAL: Senate: Republicans gain six seats.
Notable: Reid wins, Manchin wins handily, Buck wins, Toomey wins, Boxer wins by double-digits. McAdams loses heartbreaker to Miller. Murkowski third.

CHRIS PUMMER: I’m not sure about the Senate. I’ve been championing Harry Reid’s ability to survive, Joe Sestak’s ability to come back, and I know Russ Feingold outperformed the polls pretty solidly six years ago. Only Reid doesn’t look like a dubious position right now.


JESSICA BADER:
Republicans gain 5 Senate seats (Arkansas, Indiana, North Dakota, Wisconsin by a smaller margin than the polling indicates, and one of CO/IL/NV/PA). Alaska will not yet be decided by the time the next Congress is sworn in.
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Primary Night Extravaganza

HOWARD MEGDAL: With Christine O’Donnell’s victory in Delaware, the prospects for a Republican Senate takeover became bleaker. But the real story is that it provides yet another example of just how dangerous this path is long-term for the Republican Party in the years that follow 2010.

JESSICA BADER: The stunning outcome of the Republican gubernatorial primary in New York appears similar on the surface to what happened in Delaware, but the likely effects are very different. This was not a case where one candidate was a prohibitive favorite to win the general election and the other stood little chance to do so – Democratic Attorney General Andrew Cuomo was almost certain to win in November no matter which Republican candidate prevailed tonight. However, the victory of Carl Paladino, a Buffalo-area businessman best known for forwarding offensive e-mails and proposing that prisons be converted into dormitories for welfare recipients, by a nearly two-to-one margin over former Representative Rick Lazio could cause problems for the GOP further down the ticket – something of a problem when the party is targeting multiple House seats held by Democrats and trying to win back the state senate. Continue reading

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Dems Going For It In Alaska?

JESSICA BADER: Should Joe Miller prevail over Lisa Murkowski once all of the absentee ballots are counted, this is absolutely a race that national Democratic groups should prioritize. Alaska is a much less expensive media market than most of the other states with contested Senate races this November (the roughly half a million dollars that the Tea Party Express spent on Miller during the primary race is a big deal by Alaska standards), and only New York and Hawaii have higher rates of union membership.

HOWARD MEGDAL: I certainly agree with what Jessica said above, but there is a larger point to be made as well, I think. No election is in the bag- these parties owe it to themselves to have the best possible candidates, given the uncertainties of politics. Continue reading

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